34 11 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1010 -133 Strength Momentum |
1092 58.8(12) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.003 | 1165 | W 1- 0 | Better (+3) | 1147 | 30% | |
08/27/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.005 | 1057 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1074 | 46% | |
09/02/15 | at Taos | 0.012 | 1288 | W 3- 1 | Better (+5) | 1259 | 18% | |
09/04/15 | Los Alamos | 0.018 | 1257 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1224 | 23% | |
09/05/15 | Gallup | 0.001 | 570 | W 12- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1416 | 92% | |
09/08/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.033 | 1418 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1123 | 10% | |
09/09/15 | at St. Michael's !! | 0.011 | 870 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1306 | 66% | |
09/12/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.062 | 1371 | T 0- 0 | Better (+3) | 1181 | 15% | |
09/15/15 | at Sandia ? | 0.091 | 1114 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1021 | 34% | |
09/18/15 | Farmington | 0.130 | 1173 | T 3- 3 | Better (+1) | 1082 | 31% | |
09/19/15 | Piedra Vista ! | 0.033 | 799 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+6) | 1305 | 77% | |
09/24/15 | at Eldorado ?? | 0.240 | 1070 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1000 | 39% | |
09/26/15 | Aztec | 0.243 | 938 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1115 | 62% | |
10/02/15 | La Cueva | 0.352 | 1218 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-1) | 954 | 27% | |
10/06/15 | Moriarty | 0.345 | 904 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1200 | 67% | |
10/08/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.295 | 1387 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 904 | 11% | |
10/13/15 | Grants | 0.076 | 638 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1334 | 88% | |
10/15/15 | at Moriarty | 0.878 | 904 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 966 | 62% | |
10/22/15 | at Grants | 0.065 | 638 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1353 | 86% | |
10/24/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.753 | 1387 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1038 | 14% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Pius actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1092, while
St. Pius's "weighted playing strength" is 1041
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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